Sarasota-Manatee County Real Estate Market - 2023 Recap and 2024 Forecast

The Latest Trends in the Sarasota-Manatee Real Estate Market

Happy New Year! It's that time again – our first market update of 2024 for Sarasota, Bradenton, and Lakewood Ranch. In this blog post, we're diving into the nitty-gritty of the real estate scene, recapping 2023, and predicting what's on the horizon for the coming year. Whether you're a potential buyer or seller, here's the scoop on what's been happening in Sarasota and Manatee county.

Closed Sales and Cash Sales

Closed sales took a positive turn, rising by 1.2% from 2022 to 2023. Despite the doom and gloom predictions, the Sarasota and Manatee county areas saw an uptick in home sales. On the flip side, cash sales, a solid indicator of market strength, dipped by 8% from 6000 to around 5800. The culprit? Rising interest rates, prompting folks to explore alternative investments.

Median Sale Price

2023 brought a surprising twist to the median sale price, nudging it up by 1% from $505,000 in 2022 to $510,000. Unlike previous years, there wasn't a massive spike in prices. The culprit? Affordability challenges stemming from increased interest rates, which helped maintain a degree of consistency.

Dollar Volume and Median Percent of Original List Price Received

The dollar volume in Sarasota and Manatee county remained steady at a little over $10 billion, mirroring the figures from 2022. However, there was a noticeable shift in the percentage of the original list price received, dropping from 100% to 96.3%. This hints at a slight slowdown in the once blazing-hot sellers' market.

Median Time to Contract

Now, let's talk timeframes. The median time to contract raised a few eyebrows with a headline-grabbing 233% increase. However, the actual shift was from nine days in 2022 to 30 days in 2023. A 30-day window isn't too shabby, indicating a more balanced market where negotiation strategies can come into play.

Pending Sales and Future Outlook

As we approached the end of 2023, pending sales surpassed 2022 numbers by 1%. Encouragingly, some relief in mortgage rates brought back buyers who might've felt priced out before. If you've been on the fence, now might be the time to consult with your agents and lenders to explore new possibilities.

Inventory

2024's buzzword? Inventory. The inventory numbers saw a 40% increase, which might sound daunting. But in reality, it shifted from a 2.8 months supply to 3.9. We consider a seller's market to be zero to three months supply of inventory, where the seller really controls the terms. Three to five months supply of inventory is a median market, which means both sides have advantages. So 3.9 months supply of inventory places the us squarely in the median category, offering advantages to both buyers and sellers.

Conclusion and Future Predictions

As we embark on the journey into 2024, the Sarasota, Bradenton, and Lakewood Ranch real estate market offers a blend of insights and exciting possibilities. With an upcoming election on the horizon, the impact of fiscal policies becomes a pivotal factor that could influence interest rates, job markets, and the broader economic landscape.

The region's proactive measures to attract residents and builders have instilled a sense of resilience. Sarasota and Manatee county's diversification and efforts to avoid dependence solely on tourism set the stage for a more stable real estate environment compared to areas with a more one-dimensional economic focus. The result is a positive outlook for population growth, contributing to the continued vitality of the local real estate market.

For buyers, understanding your motivations and aligning them with the current market conditions will be key. Engaging in open conversations with your agent and undergoing a comprehensive buyer consultation can provide the clarity needed to make informed decisions.

For sellers, the landscape of increased inventory brings both challenges and opportunities. While there may be more competition, strategic positioning and collaboration with your agent become critical to ensuring your property stands out. Setting realistic expectations and avoiding the temptation to set new price records will be essential in navigating the shifting market dynamics.

In the grand tapestry of the real estate market, 2024 unfolds as a canvas where each decision, each transaction, and each negotiation contributes to the evolving narrative. It's a time to remain vigilant, adaptable, and well-informed. For those considering a move, be it buying or selling, the guidance of seasoned agents and a keen awareness of local and global economic trends will be invaluable.

So, as we step into the unfolding chapters of 2024, let's embrace the opportunities, navigate the challenges, and work collaboratively to shape the future of real estate in Sarasota, Bradenton, and Lakewood Ranch. Here's to a year filled with growth, success, and prosperity in the real estate market! Cheers!


If you have any additional questions regarding the current market trends in the Sarasota, FL, Bradenton, FL, Lakewood Ranch, FL and surrounding areas, please reach out to your House Match agent or Matt Bohanon at House Match!

MATT BOHANON

REALTOR® | CEO

(941) 726-8750

matt@housematchfl.com